Valpo beats Green Bay

Valpo won again, this time taking down previously unbeaten in conference play Green Bay.  The Crusaders rode the dangerously hot hand of Lavontae Dority to an easy 15 point victory.  Valpo got solid PPS contributions from Jubril Adekoya, Bobby Capobianco, and Keith Carter.

vs. Detroit	PPS +	PPS –	Overall	MIN
Dority	1.3548	0.2581	1.0968	31
Peters	0.7500	0.3929	0.3571	28
Coleman	0.5294	0.4706	0.0588	17
Carter	1.1429	0.5000	0.6429	14
Capobianco	1.1429	0.3571	0.7857	14
Williams	0.7500	0.2500	0.5000	24
Adekoya	0.9615	0.0769	0.8846	26
Gueye	0.6667	0.4000	0.2667	15
Fernandez	0.8000	0.3200	0.4800	25

Halfway PPS All Conference Candidates

Let me preface this by saying that I haven’t paid much attention to the other teams in the league. If I have left someone off the list you feel is deserving either let me know via polite email or tweet or just get over it.  I couldn’t find one standout guy for Milwaukee or Cleveland State, that doesn’t mean these teams aren’t good (Milwaukee is not good) it just means they don’t rely on that one guy to lead them night in and night out.  Edit: it was brought to my attention I left off CSU’s Anton Grady, Grady scores a .6694 in 475 minutes of action. Thanks Dave_2010 from the Valpo fan zone for pointing out Grady as a candidate. These scores are for the entire season, not just league play.  Three players have really separated themselves from the pack, with Brown and Perry probably on NBA teams draft radars. From lowest score to highest score here is where the Horizon League stars sit:

#8 Travis Bader, Oakland, 823 minutes PPS of .5346

#7 Juwan Howard Jr, Detroit, 704 minutes PPS of .6378

#6 First Name Barlow, UIC, 650 minutes PPS of .6692

#5 AJ Pacher, Wright State, 498 minutes PPS of .6767

#4 LaVonte Dority, Valpo, 660 minutes PPS of .6909

#3 Alec Brown, Green Bay, 563 minutes PPS of .8668

#2 Kendrick Perry, Youngstown State, 759 minutes PPS of .8972

#1 Keifer Sykes, Green Bay, 627 minutes PPS of .9665

IU 2014 B10 PPS

Indiana is off to a pretty poor start in the Big Ten season as they currently have a 2-4 record. The team has a multitude of problems and they are struggling to find solutions. The Hoosiers don’t have anyone on their roster playing really well except for maybe Vonleh so it’s probably going to be a tough final dozen games in the B10 regular season

Player	MP	PPS +	PPS –	Overall PPS
Noah Vonleh	179	1.11	0.32	0.79
Kevin Yogi Ferrell	211	1.05	0.42	0.63
Troy Williams	108	0.81	0.33	0.47
Hanner Mosquera-Perea	76	0.71	0.36	0.36
Austin Etherington	76	0.61	0.26	0.34
Stanford Robinson	129	0.78	0.46	0.33
Devin Davis	33	0.52	0.24	0.27
Jeremy Hollowell	60	0.67	0.40	0.27
Jeff Howard	53	0.47	0.25	0.23
Evan Gordon	125	0.53	0.30	0.22

Valpo defeats Milwaukee 1/18

Valpo used big scores from their guards to roll to a double digit home victory over conference foe Milwaukee. Dority had a huge night, scoring 27 points on only 16 fga and not committing  any turnovers.  Gueye and Fernandez combined to put up nice numbers from the Center position despite combining for 7 fouls and 4 turnovers.  Coach Drew, for one game at least, seems to have found a rotation he likes.  Only two guys played more then 22 minutes.  Lower minutes and pretty good productivity will lead to good PPS and typically a victory!

 

vs. Detroit	PPS +	PPS –	Overall	MIN
Dority	1.3429	0.2571	1.0857	35
Peters	0.5000	0.3462	0.1538	26
Coleman	0.7000	0.2000	0.5000	20
Carter	1.3333	0.3333	1.0000	18
Capobianco	0.5714	0.3333	0.2381	21
Williams	1.3333	0.4286	0.9048	21
Adekoya	0.3500	0.4500	-0.1000	20
Yeo	#VALUE!	#VALUE!	#VALUE!	DNP
Gueye	1.1765	0.6471	0.5294	17
Fernandez	0.9545	0.3182	0.6364	22

Valpo at Detroit PPS

 

Valpo got nothing from their two highly touted recruits Peters and Carter, but managed a road win at Detroit.   Williams, Dority, Adekoya and the free throw shooting were fantastic for the Crusaders.  As a team Valpo continues to out rebound their opponents, but they are still turning the ball over at an alarming rate.

 

vs. Detroit	PPS +	PPS –	Overall	MIN
Dority	1.1935	0.4839	0.7097	31
Peters	0.1600	0.2800	-0.1200	25
Coleman	#VALUE!	#VALUE!	#VALUE!	DNP
Carter	0.3750	0.8750	-0.5000	8
Capobianco	1.0952	0.2381	0.8571	21
Williams	1.5333	0.3000	1.2333	30
Adekoya	0.8824	0.1176	0.7647	34
Yeo	0.9091	0.4545	0.4545	11
Gueye	0.6667	0.3333	0.3333	15
Fernandez	0.8000	0.3200	0.4800	25

Previewing the Enemy – Wright State

I’ve got too much time on my hands this evening.  Here is a look at what my least favorite Horizon League team, yes even more then Detroit, has done so far this year.  Wright State has been perfect this year; undefeated at home and winless on the road.  Looking at their PPS scores they appear to be an average at best team that relies on hustle (a crutch for the talentless) and defense to win them ball games. I firmly believe that they over acheived last year and will come back to Earth this season.

WSU	PPS+	PPS-	PPS Overall	MIN
Pacher	1.1366	0.4128	0.7238	344
Dixon	0.9137	0.3350	0.5787	394
Yoho	0.7658	0.3711	0.3947	380
Young	1.0528	0.4814	0.5714	322
Vest	0.7153	0.1873	0.5280	411
Arceneaux	0.5747	0.2474	0.3273	388
Darling	0.9713	0.5738	0.3975	244
Griffin	0.5981	0.2349	0.3632	413
Davis	0.8706	0.4235	0.4471	170
Hopkins	0.8707	0.3621	0.5086	116
Howell	0.4052	0.2759	0.1293	116
Sledge	0.7895	0.3421	0.4474	38

Valpo has also been quite mediocre.  I suppose that is why Valpo is 7-2 at home and 1-6 on the road.

Season	PPS +	PPS –	Overall	MIN
Dority	1.0336	0.3577	0.6759	506
Peters	0.9879	0.3501	0.6378	497
Coleman	1.0000	0.3598	0.6402	403
Carter	0.9266	0.3853	0.5413	109
Capobianco	0.9817	0.3761	0.6055	327
Williams	0.7146	0.3073	0.4073	410
Adekoya	0.8333	0.2917	0.5417	288
Yeo	0.6983	0.3233	0.3750	232
Gueye	0.9345	0.4241	0.5103	290
Fernandez	0.8127	0.3569	0.4558	283

Two teams full of players with mediocre scores.  Valpo has guys more likely to have big games in Peters, Dority and Carter (I think) and is at home, plus I hate Wright State so I will give Valpo a double digit victory.  I’m interested to see how many times WSU coach Donlon does his foot stomp/arms crossed/pouty face tantrum.  I’ll set the over/under at 5.5 times.

Valpo at Oakland January 4, 2014

In what was turned out to be a bizzarro UIC game, Valpo saw it’s big first half lead disappear before losing by 5 at Oakland and falling to 1-1 in conference play.  Jordan Coleman and Lexus Williams both played exceptionally well in the first half before disappearing in the second.  In the end, the Crusaders’ PPS scores were all pretty mediocre, which when you are on the road will typically result in a loss.

 

at Oakland	PPS +	PPS –	Overall	MIN
Alec Peters	0.7241	0.2759	0.4483	29
Lavontae Dority	0.9730	0.3784	0.5946	37
Moussa Gueye	0.9000	0.4500	0.4500	20
Keith Carter	0.8400	0.3600	0.4800	25
Bobby Capobianco	0.3333	0.2500	0.0833	12
Vashil Fernandez	0.5333	0.2667	0.2667	15
Jubril Adekoya	0.5625	0.1875	0.3750	16
Jordan Coleman	0.9259	0.2963	0.6296	27
Lexus Williams	0.8947	0.3684	0.5263	19

Valpo vs. UIC January 2, 2014

Catching a bit after  being in Florida for a week and now having several snow days off work.  First up was the first conference game of the year.  Valpo overcame an 8 point half time deficit and won going away.  Coach Drew seems to still be figuring out what combination of guys to go with.  Keith Carter shined bright in his first HL game, coming off the bench and scoring 19 points.  His PPS would’ve been even higher had not missed 3 ft’s.  Speaking of ft’s, Vashil Fernandez really shot himself in the foot with his 0-7 from the charity stripe.  The whole team struggle from the line on this night, missing a combined 18 freebies.

vs. UIC	PPS +	PPS –	Overall	MIN
Alec Peters	0.6207	0.2414	0.3793	29
Lavontae Dority	0.8889	0.3333	0.5556	36
Moussa Gueye	0.8571	0.5714	0.2857	7
Keith Carter	1.3750	0.2917	1.0833	24
Bobby Capobianco	1.1176	0.2941	0.8235	17
Vashil Fernandez	0.7500	0.6250	0.1250	16
Jubril Adekoya	0.9545	0.4545	0.5000	22
Jordan Coleman	1.1923	0.1923	1.0000	26
Nick Davidson	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	1
Lexus Williams	0.9545	0.3182	0.6364	22

Indiana vs Illinois – Game #14

Indiana kicked off the Big Ten season with an 83-80 loss to Illinois in Champaign on New Year’s Eve. Yogi Ferrell and Noah Vonleh started off the B10 season the right way but rough games from Will Sheehey, Jeremy Hollowell and Stanford Robinson made it difficult for IU to win with very little depth.

Indiana	MP	PPS +	PPS –	Overall PPS
Kevin Yogi Ferrell	43	1.30	0.35	0.95
Noah Vonleh	30	1.43	0.50	0.93
Hanner Mosquera-Perea	15	0.93	0.27	0.67
Troy Williams	21	0.86	0.24	0.62
Evan Gordon	29	0.69	0.31	0.38
Will Sheehey	33	0.64	0.33	0.30
Jeremy Hollowell	23	0.43	0.52	-0.09
Stanford Robinson	19	0.16	0.63	-0.47

State Schools vs Indiana – Games # 12 and 13

Sorry for the delay in posts as my Daughter was not feeling well this weekend so that became priority #1; as it should. IU beat Nicholls State 79-66 on Friday in a pretty boring lackluster game and followed it up with a 90-66 beating of Kennesaw State on Sunday afternoon. At this point in the season I can say with confidence that the IU team that you see is the one you will get. There will be poor outside shooting, lots of turnovers, some questionable playing rotations and a lot of dribbling by Yogi Ferrell. Here is the PPS from the games this weekend:

vs  Nicholls State	MP	PPS +	PPS –	Overall PPS
Stanford Robinson	12	1.42	0.17	1.25
Hanner Mosquera-Perea	12	1.33	0.08	1.25
Kevin Yogi Ferrell	27	1.30	0.30	1.00
Jeremy Hollowell	21	1.24	0.38	0.86
Noah Vonleh	17	1.12	0.35	0.76
Devin Davis	12	1.08	0.33	0.75
Will Sheehey	22	1.18	0.50	0.68
Troy Williams	17	0.71	0.35	0.35
Luke Fischer	11	0.27	0.09	0.18
Evan Gordon	18	0.56	0.39	0.17
Austin Etherington	13	0.31	0.31	0.00

vs   Kennesaw State	MP	PPS +	PPS –	Overall PPS
Kevin Yogi Ferrell	30	1.70	0.33	1.37
Will Sheehey	25	1.24	0.28	0.96
Troy Williams	24	0.96	0.46	0.50
Jeremy Hollowell	21	0.38	0.24	0.14
Noah Vonleh	19	1.84	0.53	1.32
Luke Fischer	19	1.16	0.21	0.95
Evan Gordon	13	0.77	0.23	0.54
Stanford Robinson	11	0.91	0.36	0.55
Hanner Mosquera-Perea	11	0.36	0.36	0.00
Devin Davis	9	1.00	0.56	0.44